Okay, last week I joked about having my worst ever week with picks because I didn’t get any right. Perhaps it was karma, perhaps it was fate or perhaps I’m just an idiot -- but I followed it up by having an ACTUAL bad week of picks.
While I got three games correct, I incorrectly chose Northeast, Rossview and Montgomery Central to win their games -- and all three lost.
At least I broke even -- but I’m now dangerously close to reaching 10 total losses this season. I’d like to avoid that if I can.
Fortunately, we’ve reached the final week of the regular season. Just about every playoff spot is secured but two, with the only teams in limbo being Clarksville, Rossview and Kenwood.
But that’s enough from me; let’s do this.
Clarksville Wildcats (3-4, 2-3) at West Creek Coyotes (2-6, 0-5)
This season hasn’t been a pretty one for the Coyotes. They’re currently riding a five-game losing streak (not counting a forfeit win against Montgomery Central) and have been out of the playoffs for some time now.
Conversely, the Wildcats started the season painfully slowly, losing four of their first five games. They’ve now won their last two and, with a win, will get back into the playoffs.
West Creek would love to play spoiler, but I doubt they’ll be able to get up enough to affect someone else’s playoff fate when they couldn’t even do it for their own.
Prediction: Clarksville 48, West Creek 7
Rossview Hawks (5-3, 2-2) at Lebanon Blue Devils (5-4, 1-3)
The Hawks have cooled off after starting the season with a vengeance. They lost their first game to Wilson Central with head coach Todd Hood missing from the sidelines, then went on to win their next five over opponents including Northeast and Mt. Juliet.
Now, after taking consecutive losses to Lipscomb Academy and Hendersonville, the Hawks have gone from potential region champions to clinging for their postseason lives.
This is going to be a good football game. Whoever wins is in -- and both programs want that berth badly. That said, I think Rossview’s latest experience against top-tier programs will be just enough of an edge to push them over the Blue Devils.
Prediction: Rossview 21, Lebanon 14
Dyer County Choctaws (6-2, 3-1) at Kenwood Knights (2-5, 2-3)
This is the only other game with postseason implications -- but only if West Creek beats Clarksville.
If the Wildcats win, this game is practically moot. The Knights need this win to even have a chance at getting in.
Unfortunately, I think that’s going to be too tall of an order for Les Greer and company. Dyer County isn’t the best team they’ll have faced this season, and Kenwood has shown that they can be competitive against solid teams, but they haven’t been able to beat them.
I expect that to continue this week.
Prediction: Dyer County 45, Kenwood 31
Northwest Vikings (1-6, 1-4) at No. 18 Henry County Patriots (7-2, 5-0)
The Patriots are the best team in this region by a WIDE margin and the Vikings are… far below average, at least among 5A terms.
Add in the fact that this game means literally nothing in terms of standings -- these teams can’t move up or down in the standings at all -- and this is easily the least impactful game of the week.
Maybe the Vikings can make some plays when the Patriots bench their starters, whether that’s before the game even starts or halftime, but there’s just not a world where Henry County loses this game.
Prediction: Henry County 56, Northwest 0
Montgomery Central Indians (3-4, 1-4) at White House Heritage Patriots (6-3, 3-2)
The Indians’ defense continues to be exceedingly impressive, holding White House to just one touchdown last week.
The problem is that the offense has been completely invisible. They have been shut out in three of their last four games, and the one where they did score was only one touchdown. You’re simply not going to win football games by doing that, especially not in the competitive Region 5-4A.
Even though they’re out of the playoffs and WH Heritage is locked into the No. 3 seed, MCHS should come out and play tough. I just don’t see the offense-starved Indians pulling off an upset.
Prediction: WH Heritage 17, Montgomery Central 0
Antioch Bears (1-4, 1-3) at Northeast Eagles (5-2, 5-1)
The result of this game pales in comparison to what it means for the Eagles mentally.
Don’t get me wrong -- they would love to win this football game. It just means nothing for their spot in the standings, where they’re locked into Region 7-5A’s No. 2 seed. The true value of this game comes out of Northeast getting back to basics and regaining their footing after a shocking blowout loss against Henry County one week ago. Brandon Clark needs to get his team regrouped and prepared to find themselves before the postseason begins, and this is the perfect opportunity for that.
Antioch is better than they’ve been in recent years, sure, but that doesn’t say a lot. They’re still a softball opponent and the Eagles shouldn’t have a problem against them, even if they play imperfectly.
Prediction: Northeast 48, Antioch 0
The Clarksville Academy Cougars’ game against University School of Jackson was canceled due to COVID-19 concerns at CA.